Sunday, 29 July 2012

Microsoft's online adv business after its first quarterly loss and aQuantive writeoff

We are continuing with your fictitious Microsoft interview in this post too. You were little lost in your thought when the interviewer came back with another person. Customary to strange interviewing process, the interviewer stepped out of the room 30 minutes ago, requesting you to wait for a while. 
The interviewer simply introduces his companion as a colleague who works in Microsoft’s online advertising vertical. For our convenience, let’s call this colleague of the interviewer, interceptor. The interceptor thanks the interviewer, greets you nicely at which point you notice that the interviewer gets up and takes leave from both of you. As the interviewer walks out of the room, the interceptor tells you that he would like this to be free-format discussion rather than a strict question-answer session. This is a new tack and it could mean that he will judge you based on how forthcoming you are in picking up the leads and how resourceful you are in fleshing up the conversation.
So, you start neutrally, “I read that Microsoft wrote off aQuantive and took a hit of $6.2 billion in its quarterly result. But you guys must be seeing this for some time?”
His eyes flickered, “Yes, you could say that.” He seemed to weigh his words before going any further. You decide to use silence as your tactical tool. Finally he spoke, “Online Advertising itself is a very new area and is going though continuous changes both from providers and advertisers’ point of view. Market saw explosive growth of online advertising spots in last two years, far exceeding the demand. In the hindsight, Microsoft may have put a little too high price for aQuantive.”


This is as far as it could get, you realise. You decide not to press further.  The interceptor goes back to more familiar line and asks you to talk about your experience, your achievements, and your failures. These are fillers and you know that all you need is repeat your well-rehearsed pitch, not too aggressive, neither too submissive, not too short, neither too elaborate, leaving pointers that lead to known territory, your space of comfort. You know that he will play with them for next 30 minutes. The important thing here is to maintain the flow but to not make any obvious mistakes. Eventually he will move to the ‘challenge’ phase. He will use chosen few questions as deal-breaker, assuming you have managed to maintain his interest till that point.
“What in your view is situation with online advertising space?” he changes the line and gives you a large canvas.
“Online advertising is the future, no doubt, but it is highly likely that advertising itself will see a large transformation before we reach there.” His eyes tell you that you have grabbed his attention. Now you need to carefully steer it.
Basic purpose of advertising, to start with, is to reach out to its potential buyers. It starts with a process of building general awareness of the product, its functionality, its value both at functional and emotional plane. In a world that is information-deprived, such as in the post internet-era, advertising was essentially broadcast. Print media or TV/entertainment media were the avenues to reach its audience and the advertisement content producer’s sole aim was to create content that sticks in viewer’s mind the longest. Building a brand is all about creating lasting impression in customer’s mind, creating emotional connectivity with customer’s thought process.


In the internet-era, information access has been practically ‘on demand’. It is buyers’ media now.  While TV and print media advertising continues and will continue to remain broadcast in nature, internet advertising must be focused on customer’s need and reaching to customer when his need arises. If broadcast advertising is more ‘push’ type, internet advertising is more a ‘pull’ type. Depending on the type of information that a person is searching/reading in the internet, the advertising agent has to pick and display the ad. If the agent provides too many irrelevant display ad, the viewer/user may block the content. So the role of the advertising agent is much more delicate, much more crucial here. With doubleclick, if Google has showed how to appropriate the value of display ads, it is also largely using its strength and dominance of its search engine. Microsoft with aQuantive and Bing although tried to emulate the model, fact that Bing commands a lot smaller share went against the model. Of course, with meteoric rise of Facebook, like the interceptor said, supply of advertising spots exceeded the demand by a large magnitude, bringing down the tariff of internet display ad overall.
Note : The average cost to reach 1,000 people with an online display ad fell to about $11.50 at the end of 2011 from $13.35 in late 2009, according to SQAD Inc, which tracks negotiated ad deals – source: Reuters
“Interesting! So how would you correct the course for Microsoft, if you are allowed to? What changes will you bring in?”

This unmistakably is the challenge question. Shying away is not only inappropriate, it will weaken your position. You must take this square on and try to be crisp while you are on it.
“I would start with basics. Microsoft is what it is because of Windows. I will start there. Windows is not only an operating system, it is a complete platform with whole lot of computing resources and with lot of crucial user-specific private data. Transferring the data outside user’s device would be tantamount to violating user’s privacy, so I will incorporate a sophisticated analytical engine inside Windows. It will continuously scan the information content being read/browsed and create a some sort of a live ‘top of mind’ list. When the customer invokes Explorer, I will provide a space which user can disable or resize or run in the background, if he likes to, but like news feed, this space will show display ads or links to the company that is absolutely relevant to his ‘top-of-mind-list’. More it is contextual, the better. Once this done properly same scheme can be used for Windows Phone too. Fact is with Phone the potential is lot higher. The phone soon is becoming the electronic gadget that will treble as communication device, entertainment device, gaming device as well as mobile commercial device and if I have a sophisticated platform like Windows, I will take full advantage of it by incorporating an analytics engine that maintains a live four dimensional profile of the user, the four dimensions being location, time, finance and emotional/behavioural state. With voice-assistance, I suspect that this, if it is done properly, it will be immensely useful to the customer too. Look at how popular Siri is for iPhone/iPad users and this will be lot more smarter that Siri! For amnesiacs, it will take the role of careful companion.

We will feed this engine with all the relevant advertising content which will be entirely contextual where high premium will be attached to relevance and physical/temporal proximity. That would not only create the channel that Microsoft is looking for, it will also be welcomed by its customers.
However, with the knowledge that Microsoft always works on competing strategies, I suspect that Microsoft’s post-aQuantive engineering team already is working on this line for it is the only way to deliver the promises of internet-based advertising which essentially pulls the right ad at right time to the right person, as many say!”

You did not notice when the interviewer came back but you seem to notice their momentary eye-contact as you were coming back from the whiteboard. You know that you have been fairly logical and accurate but were you a bit too assertive?
The interceptor tells you that he thoroughly enjoyed the discussion and gives you his card, when you realize your second interviewer is a Vice President in Microsoft.

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